Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.420336 5.914009 6.467256 7.140921 7.950100 8.905927 10.144723
2024-12-29 4.766432 5.394878 6.149829 7.148181 8.475566 10.250547 12.950711
2025-01-05 4.274651 4.970374 5.851211 7.095910 8.903071 11.623003 16.550030
2025-01-12 3.800509 4.498782 5.414894 6.771852 8.877169 12.368506 19.815648
2025-01-19 3.411793 4.091328 5.006528 6.411583 8.709891 12.850266 23.193865
2025-01-26 3.294273 4.030094 5.062652 6.743033 9.753265 16.090532 38.844460
2025-02-02 3.295775 4.130332 5.362424 7.525763 11.933759 23.945170 141.203708
2025-02-09 3.202837 4.082641 5.429933 7.936051 13.619122 33.725871 NaN
2025-02-16 3.090889 3.993580 5.417491 8.198332 15.150974 48.179706 NaN
2025-02-23 2.970624 3.879355 5.347184 8.331827 16.470028 70.457946 NaN
2025-03-02 2.784106 3.646551 5.048879 7.933344 16.004121 76.312813 NaN
2025-03-09 2.663939 3.510385 4.905635 7.845417 16.541862 104.479623 NaN
2025-03-16 2.473789 3.265975 4.577376 7.361613 15.748589 111.039659 NaN
2025-03-23 2.376068 3.164595 4.496287 7.427921 17.089032 267.957514 NaN
2025-03-30 2.277177 3.054300 4.388161 7.414352 18.214348 2554.989798 NaN
2025-04-06 2.151531 2.891883 4.168863 7.092906 17.797474 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.031119 2.731770 3.942053 6.721121 16.974543 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.004433 2.726193 4.005940 7.097029 20.346730 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.022077 2.796692 4.226069 7.971014 29.310616 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.996240 2.789443 4.289984 8.436999 38.138376 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.957971 2.757093 4.297636 8.737985 48.142600 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.912063 2.707749 4.263350 8.893694 58.721760 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.831316 2.590636 4.071211 8.451282 53.777853 NaN NaN